ON-CHAIN ANALYSIS BASICS
Plain English
Crypto's killer feature for analysts: every transaction is public. On-chain analysis reads the blockchain directly to spot whale movements, exchange flows, and miner behavior — signals invisible in traditional markets.
Going deeper
Tools like Glassnode, CryptoQuant, and Nansen aggregate on-chain data into actionable indicators. Key metrics: exchange inflows (rising = potential selling), MVRV (price vs realized cost basis, extremes mark cycle tops/bottoms), SOPR (profit/loss ratio of moved coins), and miner reserves (declining = miners selling). Whale wallets can be tracked by address; movement of large dormant balances often precedes major price action. Combine on-chain with technical and macro signals — never trade off one indicator alone.
Examples
Exchange inflow signal
BTC exchange inflows spiked to 30k coins in a single day before the May 2021 crash. Traders monitoring Glassnode saw the warning hours before the price dump.
Whale accumulation
Wallets holding 1,000-10,000 BTC accumulated through the 2022 bear market while retail panicked. By Q4 2023, these cohorts held the highest aggregate balance in years — preceding the 2024 rally.