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Learning Path
prediction markets.Advanced Event Trading & Probability Edge.
Go beyond simple Yes/No trades. Learn how to identify systematically mispriced contracts, apply Superforecasting techniques, exploit longshot bias, and use prediction markets as a leading indicator for financial market moves.
Intermediate 75 min 10 steps
Who this is for
Traders who understand the basics of prediction markets and want to develop a systematic edge — identifying mispricings, using base rates, and correlating with financial markets.
01
lesson
Implied Probability & Mispricing
02
lesson
How Prices Move Before & During Events
03
lesson
Liquidity, Spreads & Market Quality
04
lesson
Crowd Wisdom vs. Actual Probability
05
lesson
Correlations with Financial Markets
06
lesson
Taxes & Reporting
07
strategy
Pre-Event Positioning
08
strategy
Late News Reaction
09
strategy
Cross-Market Correlation
10
strategy
Portfolio Diversification (PM)