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Strategy · Event-Driven

FAST-REACT NEWS TRADE

BullishDefined riskAdvanced

Overview

Monitor news feeds and execute on prediction markets within minutes of high-impact announcements. Speed and disciplined sizing capture the gap before market re-pricing.

Setup

  1. 1.Set up real-time alerts (Bloomberg, Twitter lists, government RSS feeds).
  2. 2.Pre-size your trade in advance: know exactly how many contracts you'd take at each price.
  3. 3.Execute within 60 seconds of credible confirmation.
  4. 4.Use limit orders 1-2 cents inside the moving market to avoid worst-fill slippage.
  5. 5.Exit within 1-3 hours; the edge decays as the market re-prices.
  6. 6.Track win rate; require >55% to justify ongoing time commitment.

Max profit

20-50 cent re-pricing moves are common on major news.

Max loss

Entry price; size each event to limit loss to <1% of capital.

Breakeven

Entry price plus slippage.

When to use

When you have a verified information edge in seconds, not minutes.

When to avoid

On rumors or unverified reports. When you cannot monitor markets in real time.